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Urban Development Institute panel optimistic about Vancouver’s real estate prospects

Ashley Nielsen Vancouver Real Estate Uban Development

 

Urban Development Institute panel optimistic about Vancouver’s real estate prospects

There is no real estate bubble in Vancouver and markets will remain stable in 2013 — as long as interest rates remain low, immigration targets are met and Europe’s economy doesn’t melt down, a panel of real estate developers told more than 1,100 real estate professionals, business leaders and B.C. politicians on Thursday.

Colin Bosa, CEO of Bosa Properties, Tony Astles, executive vice-president of Bentall Kennedy, and Eric Carlson, president and CEO of Anthem Properties provided the Urban Development Institute’s annual market forecast while Diana McMeekin, president of Artemis Marketing, moderated.

Bosa said that as long as people continue to move to British Columbia, the real estate market will remain stable. He compared conditions in 2009 to those today and found that demand is similar, although immigration numbers were down in 2012 and two federal immigration programs — the investor program and the skilled worker program — are under review and could be subject to change.

In terms of supply, he said, more units were built in 2012 than 2009, but not many more than the 15-year average.

“The good news for all the salespeople in the room is, you’re going to sell lots of real estate this year, but the bad news is you’re going to have to work at it,” Bosa said, adding that projects near transit service will continue to sell well.

Southeast False Creek and Coquitlam Centre are two areas with a lot of unsold inventory, Bosa said. He said realtors in those areas might have to “sharpen their pencils” and that prices might decline.

However, he said Metro Vancouver condominium developers showed in 2009 that developers can “turn off the tap” quickly when the market slows.

Bosa said he believes people — and their money — from China will continue to flow into B.C. because they want to invest outside China and they want their children to grow up in North America.

“They like it in British Columbia because it’s safe and they’re accepted here,” Bosa said. “There is a good quality of life with universal health care and good schools.”

Two things that could stop the flow of people from China in to British Columbia would be a recession or a change to Canadian immigration policy, Bosa said.

“If you buy good real estate at fair prices, you can’t go wrong,” Bosa said. “It’s not that hard.”

Carlson said B.C. and Canada were protected between 2009 and 2011 while the rest of the world was reeling from the economic crisis. Canada did not really need the extremely low interest rates as much as the rest of the world, and the low rates coupled with immigration, stimulated the housing market.

“We felt a bit smug if we were provincial in our outlook. That ended in 2012. ... We started to feel the malaise for the first time,” Carlson said.

But he forecast that 2013 would be a stronger year because of B.C.’s ties to China and the U.S., which are both seeing economic recovery.

“I think this is the year that the fear factor goes away,” Carlson said, adding that he believes immigration will pick up this year and recovery in the housing market in the U.S. will mean many new jobs are created.

“U.S. unemployment will go down to 6.5 per cent this year, while U.S. gross domestic product will be trending towards three per cent by the end of the year,” Carlson said, adding that he thinks 2013 is a good time to buy real estate.

“I don’t think there is a bubble at all,” Carlson said.

Astles predicted the office building market will remain stable in 2013. He warned that a lack of supply means no rent relief until 2016.

He said Burnaby and New Westminster might have some oversupply, but Vancouver’s downtown is healthy. He said multi-family rentals were a low-risk investment, particularly because of limited supply.

He said there are some challenges when it comes to labour, with employees leaving for higher pay in Edmonton and points North, and with many experienced workers retiring.



Sherlock, Tracy. "Urban Development Institute Panel Optimistic about Vancouver’s Real Estate Prospects." The Vancouver Sun (25 Jan. 2013): n. pag. Www.vancouversun.com. 25 Jan. 2013. Web. 28 Jan. 2013.

 

城市发展研究院面板温哥华的房地产前景看好

有没有在温哥华的房地产泡沫和市场将在2013年保持稳定 - 只要利率保持低位,移民指标均达到和欧洲的经济不会崩溃,面板的房地产开发商对1100多名房地产专业人士,商业领袖和BC上周四的政治家。
科林·博萨,Bosa的属性,托尼,CEO的埃里克·卡尔森的总裁和CEO的国歌属性提供了城市发展研究所的年度市场预测的同时,耳忒弥斯营销总裁,戴安娜麦克米金主持。
博萨说,只要人们继续移动到不列颠哥伦比亚省的房地产市场将保持稳定。他那些今天在2009年的比较条件和发现需求是相似的,虽然移民数量下降 - 投资者计划和熟练的工人计划 - 在2012年和两个联邦移民方案进行审查,并可能会受到改变。
他说,在供应方面,更多的单位在2012年建立于2009年,但不超过15年的平均水平许多。
“在房间里的所有销售人员的好消息是,你要卖出大量的房地产今年,但坏消息是,你要工作,博萨说,补充说,项目附近运输服务将继续畅销。
东南亚福溪和高贵林中心两个领域有很多未售出的库存,博萨说。他说,在这些地区的房地产经纪人可能要“提高他们的铅笔”,价格可能下降。
不过,他说温哥华公寓的开发人员显示,在2009年,开发人员可以“关掉水龙头”快速的市场增长放缓。
博萨说,他相信人 - 他们的钱 - 从中​​国将继续流入BC因为他们希望投资中国以外的,他们希望自己的孩子长大后在北美。
,“博萨说:”他们喜欢在不列颠哥伦比亚省,因为它是安全的,他们在这里接受。 “全民医疗保健和良好的学校有一个良好的生活质量。”
有两件事情可以阻止来自中国的人流量在不列颠哥伦比亚省是经济衰退或加拿大移民政策的变化,博萨说。
“如果你买了良好的房地产以合理的价格,你不能去错的,”博萨说。“ “这并不难。”
卡尔森说,不列颠哥伦比亚省保护和加拿大在2009年和2011年之间,而其余的世界是从经济危机中步履蹒跚。加拿大并没有真正需要的尽可能多的世界其他地区,和低利率,加上移民极低的利率,刺激了房地产市场。
“我们觉得有点飘飘然,如果我们省在我们的视野中。这在2012年结束。 ...第一次,我们开始感觉不舒服,“卡尔森说。
但他预测,2013年将是一个更强大的一年,因为BC的关系,中国和美国,都看到经济复苏。
“我认为这是今年的恐惧因素消失,”卡尔森说,补充说,他认为移民会拿起今年和恢复住房市场将意味着在美国创造许多新的就业机会。
“美国的失业率将下降至6.5%的增长,而美国的国内生产总值(GDP)的百分之三年底将趋向,“卡尔森说,他认为2013年是一个好时机,买房地产。
,“卡尔森说:”我不认为有泡沫,在所有。
Astles预计写字楼市场在2013年将保持稳定。他警告说,供应不足是指没有租金减免,直至2016年。
他说,本拿比和新西敏可能有一些供过于求,但温哥华的市中心,是健康的。他说,多家庭的租金是一个低风险的投资,特别是由于供应有限。
他说,有一些新的挑战,当涉及到劳动,更高的薪水在埃德蒙顿和指向北方的员工离开,并与许多经验丰富的退休人员。


福尔摩斯,特雷西。 “城市发展研究院面板温哥华的房地产前景看好

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